China climbs: us soft power crumbles as perceptions shift dramatically

TikTok creators are ditching the US for a ‘Chinese time,’ reflecting a growing fascination with Beijing’s rise – and a worrying decline in America’s global standing.

A seismic shift in global opinion

A recent Pew Research Center study reveals a stunning turn in global sentiment, with China and its leader, Xi Jinping, now enjoying more favorable views than the United States and President Trump across a majority of surveyed nations – including Canada, Mexico, and Australia. Only in six countries does the US still hold a lead.

But the narrative isn’t one of simple Chinese ascendancy. The Trump administration’s aggressive posture toward Beijing – accusations of election interference, demands on Greenland, and the destabilizing actions in Venezuela and Iran – have fundamentally reshaped the geopolitical landscape. The result? A dramatic and sustained erosion of American credibility.

The numbers tell a stark story

The numbers tell a stark story

Across 20 countries, the median percentage viewing China favorably jumped from 32% to a remarkable 46% between 2023 and this year. Conversely, the US experienced a sharp drop, plummeting from 58% to just 36%. This disparity is particularly pronounced in Latin America, Africa, and Southeast Asia, where Chinese influence is rapidly gaining traction.

Trump’s Gambit in Argentina illustrates this vividly: a $20 billion economic incentive offered to voters in October, a blatant attempt to sway the outcome of midterms. The fact that he’s repeatedly accused China of meddling in US elections – despite a lack of verifiable evidence – only fuels these shifting perceptions.

Beyond the headlines: strategic influence

Beyond the headlines: strategic influence

While Beijing’s ‘wolf warrior’ diplomacy may have dialed back, its strategic investments in digital influence operations remain a significant concern. From sponsored content promoting Xinjiang tourism to bolster the image of the region, to softer narratives about technology and food – China is actively cultivating a favorable narrative. This isn’t merely about propaganda; it’s about shaping the global conversation, and exploiting a growing sense of disillusionment within Western societies.

Washington, paradoxically, faces its own challenges. Its allies, while numerous – over 50 – are often treated with less respect than adversaries. The detention of Canadian citizens in retaliation for the Meng Wanzhou case, a stark reminder of Beijing’s willingness to leverage its power, highlights this dynamic. North Korea remains China's sole steadfast ally.

A cautionary tale

A cautionary tale

The story of US standing after the Iraq War offers a crucial lesson: public perception is a fickle beast. China’s own favourability ratings dipped during the pandemic, reflecting its handling of the outbreak – a factor that’s now contributing to its rising appeal. Ultimately, both superpowers must prioritize actions over rhetoric. The world will judge them not on pronouncements, but on the tangible consequences of their policies.